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Evals And Observability hard

Your pairwise judge always shows the candidate response first. Over 200 pairs, the candidate wins 64%. In a control run with the order reversed, so the incumbent is shown first, the incumbent wins 61%. How should you interpret and fix this?

  1. A The candidate is genuinely better, because a 64% win rate across 200 pairs is statistically significant whatever the presentation order.
  2. B The judge has position bias. Grade each pair in both orders, keep consistent verdicts, and count order-dependent flips as ties.
  3. C Switch to absolute 1 to 10 scoring for each response alone, since independent scoring is immune to ordering effects and more reliable.
  4. D Use the candidate model as its own judge, since it understands its own outputs best and resolves close comparisons more accurately.

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